| 世界玉米供需平衡表 | |||||||||||
| 单位:百万吨 07-05 | |||||||||||
| 世界 | |||||||||||
| 年份 | 00/01 | 01/02 | 02/03* | 03/04* | 04/05* | 05/06(04)* | 05/06(05)* | 变动 | 06/07(04)* | 06/07(05)* | 变动 |
| 期初库存 | 171.04 | 151.53 | 148.05 | 125.22 | 130.70 | 131.28 | 122.43 | (8.85) | 124.21 | 93.20 | (31.01) |
| 产量 | 588.26 | 598.80 | 601.51 | 623.43 | 695.61 | 695.20 | 697.72 | 2.52 | 695.85 | 766.50 | 70.65 |
| 总供给 | 759.30 | 750.33 | 749.56 | 748.65 | 826.31 | 826.48 | 820.15 | (6.33) | 820.06 | 859.70 | 39.64 |
| 国内饲用量 | 426.15 | 433.12 | 434.80 | 443.33 | 475.52 | 474.91 | 475.29 | 0.38 | 82.92 | 482.85 | 399.93 |
| 总使用 | 605.40 | 621.69 | 627.00 | 645.50 | 703.88 | 702.26 | 726.94 | 24.68 | 477.92 | 769.45 | 291.53 |
| 进口 | 75.62 | 74.42 | 76.86 | 76.66 | 79.18 | 79.25 | 82.55 | 3.30 | 728.24 | 82.23 | (646.01) |
| 出口 | 77.22 | 76.17 | 78.18 | 77.55 | 81.22 | 82.05 | 87 | 4.95 | 87.80 | 83.11 | (4.69) |
| 结转库存 | 153.90 | 128.63 | 122.56 | 103.16 | 122.43 | 124.21 | 93.2 | (31.01) | 91.82 | 90.25 | (1.57) |
| 库存使用比 | 25.42% | 20.69% | 19.55% | 15.98% | 17.39% | 17.69% | 12.82% | -4.87% | 19.21% | 11.73 | 1153.79% |
| 主要出口国 | |||||||||||
| 美国 | |||||||||||
| 年份 | 00/01 | 01/02 | 02/03* | 03/04* | 04/05* | 05/06(04)* | 05/06(05)* | 变动 | 06/07(04)* | 06/07(05)* | 变动 |
| 期初库存 | 43.63 | 48.24 | 40.55 | 27.60 | 53.70 | 53.70 | 49.97 | (3.73) | 49.97 | 23.80 | (26.17) |
| 产量 | 251.85 | 241.49 | 227.77 | 256.28 | 282.31 | 282.31 | 267.60 | (14.71) | 267.60 | 316.50 | 48.90 |
| 进口 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 0.36 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.02 | 0.25 | 0.38 | 0.13 |
| 总供给 | 295.65 | 289.99 | 268.69 | 284.24 | 336.24 | 336.24 | 317.82 | (18.42) | 317.82 | 340.68 | 22.86 |
| 饲用量 | 148.40 | 149.07 | 141.30 | 147.20 | 156.00 | 156.00 | 148.60 | (7.40) | 148.60 | 144.79 | (3.81) |
| 国内消费 | 198.10 | 201.05 | 200.75 | 211.64 | 231.72 | 231.72 | 238.14 | 6.42 | 238.39 | 266.46 | 28.07 |
| 出口 | 49.31 | 48.38 | 40.33 | 48.26 | 54.55 | 54.55 | 55.88 | 1.33 | 57.15 | 50.17 | (6.98) |
| 总需求 | 247.41 | 249.43 | 241.08 | 259.90 | 286.27 | 286.27 | 294.02 | 7.75 | 295.54 | 316.63 | 21.09 |
| 结转库存 | 48.24 | 40.55 | 27.60 | 24.34 | 49.97 | 49.97 | 23.80 | (26.17) | 22.28 | 24.06 | 1.78 |
| 库存使用比 | 19.50% | 16.26% | 11.45% | 9.37% | 17.46% | 17.46% | 8.09% | -9.36% | 7.54% | 7.60% | 0.06% |
| 阿根廷 | |||||||||||
| 年份 | 00/01 | 01/02 | 02/03* | 03/04* | 04/05* | 05/06(04)* | 05/06(05)* | 变动 | 06/07(04)* | 06/07(05)* | 变动 |
| 期初库存 | 0.49 | 0.64 | 0.33 | 0.53 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 1.09 | 0.13 | 0.56 | 1.59 | 1.03 |
| 产量 | 15.40 | 14.70 | 15.50 | 15.00 | 15.80 | 15.80 | 22.00 | 6.20 | 22.00 | 24.00 | 2.00 |
| 进口 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 总供给 | 15.91 | 15.34 | 15.83 | 15.57 | 16.76 | 16.76 | 23.09 | 6.33 | 22.56 | 25.59 | 3.03 |
| 饲用量 | 3.90 | 2.65 | 2.50 | 2.80 | 4.40 | 4.40 | 5.10 | 0.70 | 5.10 | 5.30 | 0.20 |
| 国内消费 | 5.60 | 4.15 | 4.00 | 4.40 | 6.20 | 6.20 | 7.00 | 0.80 | 7.00 | 7.20 | 0.20 |
| 出口 | 9.68 | 10.86 | 11.20 | 10.94 | 9.46 | 10.00 | 14.50 | 4.50 | 14.50 | 16.00 | 1.50 |
| 总需求 | 15.28 | 15.01 | 15.20 | 15.34 | 15.66 | 16.20 | 21.50 | 5.30 | 21.50 | 23.20 | 1.70 |
| 结转库存 | 0.63 | 0.33 | 0.63 | 0.22 | 1.09 | 0.56 | 1.59 | 1.03 | 1.06 | 2.39 | 1.33 |
| 库存使用比 | 4.12% | 2.20% | 4.14% | 1.43% | 6.96% | 3.46% | 7.40% | 3.94% | 4.93% | 10.30% | 5.37% |
| 主要进口国 | |||||||||||
| 日本 | |||||||||||
| 年份 | 00/01 | 01/02 | 02/03* | 03/04* | 04/05* | 05/06(04)* | 05/06(05)* | 变动 | 06/07(04)* | 06/07(05)* | 变动 |
| 期初库存 | 1.16 | 1.30 | 1.39 | 1.46 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 0.95 | (0.08) | 1.05 | 0.65 | (0.40) |
| 产量 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 进口 | 16.34 | 16.40 | 16.86 | 16.78 | 16.62 | 16.62 | 16.20 | (0.42) | 16.50 | 16.10 | (0.40) |
| 总供给 | 17.50 | 17.70 | 18.25 | 18.24 | 17.65 | 17.65 | 17.15 | (0.50) | 17.55 | 16.75 | (0.80) |
| 饲用量 | 11.90 | 12.00 | 12.30 | 12.40 | 12.00 | 12.10 | 11.90 | (0.20) | 12.00 | 11.70 | (0.30) |
| 国内消费 | 16.20 | 16.30 | 16.80 | 16.90 | 16.70 | 16.60 | 16.50 | (0.10) | 16.60 | 16.20 | (0.40) |
| 出口 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 总需求 | 16.20 | 16.30 | 16.80 | 16.90 | 16.70 | 16.60 | 16.50 | (0.10) | 16.60 | 16.20 | (0.40) |
| 结转库存 | 1.30 | 1.39 | 1.46 | 1.34 | 0.95 | 1.05 | 0.65 | (0.40) | 0.95 | 0.55 | (0.40) |
| 库存使用比 | 0.01% | 8.53% | 8.69% | 7.93% | 5.69% | 6.33% | 3.94% | -2.39% | 5.72% | 3.40% | -2.33% |
| 韩国 | |||||||||||
| 年份 | 00/01 | 01/02 | 02/03* | 03/04* | 04/05* | 05/06(04)* | 05/06(05)* | 变动 | 06/07(04)* | 06/07(05)* | 变动 |
| 期初库存 | 1.04 | 1.23 | 1.17 | 1.28 | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.36 | (0.02) | 1.35 | 1.32 | (0.03) |
| 产量 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.06 | (0.01) |
| 进口 | 8.74 | 8.62 | 8.79 | 8.78 | 8.48 | 8.48 | 9.20 | 0.72 | 8.80 | 9.10 | 0.30 |
| 总供给 | 9.85 | 9.91 | 10.03 | 10.13 | 9.93 | 9.92 | 10.63 | 0.71 | 10.22 | 10.48 | 0.26 |
| 饲用量 | 6.46 | 6.58 | 6.57 | 6.61 | 6.51 | 6.51 | 7.20 | 0.69 | 6.80 | 7.10 | 0.30 |
| 国内消费 | 8.62 | 8.74 | 8.75 | 8.72 | 8.58 | 8.58 | 9.30 | 0.72 | 8.90 | 9.20 | 0.30 |
| 出口 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 总需求 | 8.62 | 8.74 | 8.75 | 8.72 | 8.58 | 8.58 | 9.30 | 0.72 | 8.90 | 9.20 | 0.30 |
| 结转库存 | 1.23 | 1.17 | 1.29 | 1.42 | 1.36 | 1.35 | 1.32 | (0.03) | 1.32 | 1.28 | (0.04) |
| 库存使用比 | 14.26% | 13.39% | 14.74% | 16.28% | 15.85% | 15.73% | 14.19% | -1.54% | 14.83% | 13.91% | -0.92% |
| 东南亚 | |||||||||||
| 年份 | 00/01 | 01/02 | 02/03* | 03/04* | 04/05* | 05/06(04)* | 05/06(05)* | 变动 | 06/07(04)* | 06/07(05)* | 变动 |
| 期初库存 | 1.61 | 1.40 | 1.05 | 1.16 | 1.66 | 1.66 | 2.12 | 0.46 | 2.12 | 2.25 | 0.13 |
| 产量 | 15.17 | 15.07 | 14.85 | 15.42 | 16.48 | 16.48 | 16.87 | 0.39 | 16.87 | 17.08 | 0.21 |
| 进口 | 4.24 | 3.82 | 4.15 | 3.92 | 4.40 | 4.40 | 4.00 | (0.40) | 4.00 | 4.20 | 0.20 |
| 总供给 | 21.02 | 20.29 | 20.05 | 20.50 | 22.54 | 22.54 | 22.99 | 0.45 | 22.99 | 23.53 | 0.54 |
| 饲用量 | 14.18 | 13.42 | 13.20 | 12.85 | 14.50 | 14.50 | 14.70 | 0.20 | 14.70 | 15.50 | 0.80 |
| 国内消费 | 18.85 | 18.82 | 18.50 | 18.15 | 20.25 | 20.25 | 20.45 | 0.20 | 20.45 | 21.35 | 0.90 |
| 出口 | 0.60 | 0.43 | 0.51 | 0.73 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.29 | 0.12 | 0.29 | 0.24 | (0.05) |
| 总需求 | 19.45 | 19.25 | 19.01 | 18.88 | 20.42 | 20.42 | 20.74 | 0.32 | 20.74 | 21.59 | 0.85 |
| 结转库存 | 1.57 | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.61 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 2.25 | 0.13 | 2.25 | 1.95 | (0.30) |
| 库存使用比 | 8.07% | 5.45% | 5.47% | 8.53% | 10.38% | 10.38% | 10.85% | 0.47% | 10.85% | 9.03% | -1.82% |
| 墨西哥 | |||||||||||
| 年份 | 00/01 | 01/02 | 02/03* | 03/04* | 04/05* | 05/06(04)* | 05/06(05)* | 变动 | 06/07(04)* | 06/07(05)* | 变动 |
| 期初库存 | 2.86 | 2.68 | 3.40 | 3.24 | 4.53 | 4.53 | 2.71 | (1.82) | 2.71 | 2.91 | 0.20 |
| 产量 | 17.92 | 20.40 | 19.28 | 21.80 | 19.50 | 19.50 | 22.00 | 2.50 | 22.00 | 23.20 | 1.20 |
| 进口 | 5.93 | 4.08 | 5.27 | 5.74 | 6.79 | 6.79 | 8.50 | 1.71 | 8.00 | 10.20 | 2.20 |
| 总供给 | 26.70 | 27.16 | 27.95 | 30.78 | 30.82 | 30.82 | 33.21 | 2.39 | 32.71 | 36.31 | 3.60 |
| 饲用量 | 8.80 | 8.40 | 9.50 | 11.20 | 12.40 | 12.40 | 14.70 | 2.30 | 13.90 | 17.50 | 3.60 |
| 国内消费 | 24.00 | 23.60 | 24.70 | 26.40 | 27.90 | 27.90 | 30.30 | 2.40 | 29.50 | 33.30 | 3.80 |
| 出口 | 0.02 | 0.16 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| 总需求 | 24.02 | 23.76 | 24.71 | 26.41 | 28.11 | 28.11 | 30.30 | 2.19 | 29.50 | 33.33 | 3.83 |
| 结转库存 | 2.68 | 3.40 | 3.24 | 4.37 | 2.71 | 2.71 | 2.91 | 0.20 | 3.21 | 2.98 | (0.23) |
| 库存使用比 | 11.18% | 14.31% | 13.11% | 16.55% | 9.64% | 9.64% | 9.60% | -0.04% | 10.88% | 8.94% | -1.94% |
| 欧盟 | |||||||||||
| 年份 | 00/01 | 01/02 | 02/03* | 03/04* | 04/05* | 05/06(04)* | 05/06(05)* | 变动 | 06/07(04)* | 06/07(05)* | 变动 |
| 期初库存 | 3.63 | 1.66 | 2.66 | 4.83 | 8.10 | 7.01 | 9.93 | 2.92 | 10.16 | 10.42 | 0.26 |
| 产量 | 37.46 | 39.45 | 49.36 | 39.88 | 61.15 | 48.84 | 55.19 | 6.35 | 43.88 | 55.37 | 11.49 |
| 进口 | 2.86 | 2.91 | 4.33 | 5.75 | 2.63 | 3.14 | 4.50 | 1.36 | 4.50 | 3.50 | (1.00) |
| 总供给 | 43.95 | 44.02 | 56.35 | 50.46 | 71.88 | 58.99 | 69.62 | 10.63 | 58.54 | 69.29 | 10.75 |
| 饲用量 | 31.30 | 32.60 | 38.66 | 36.01 | 47.00 | 39.20 | 44.30 | 5.10 | 41.00 | 45.30 | 4.30 |
| 国内消费 | 40.30 | 42.40 | 49.53 | 46.81 | 61.50 | 48.70 | 58.90 | 10.20 | 50.80 | 60.30 | 9.50 |
| 出口 | 0.27 | 0.06 | 2.00 | 0.46 | 0.45 | 0.12 | 0.30 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| 总需求 | 40.57 | 42.46 | 51.53 | 47.27 | 61.95 | 48.82 | 59.20 | 10.38 | 51.00 | 60.60 | 9.60 |
| 结转库存 | 3.38 | 1.75 | 4.83 | 3.18 | 9.93 | 10.16 | 10.42 | 0.26 | 7.54 | 8.69 | 1.15 |
| 库存使用比 | 8.33% | 4.12% | 9.37% | 6.73% | 16.03% | 20.81% | 17.60% | -3.21% | 14.78% | 14.34% | -0.44% |
| 其他国家 | |||||||||||
| 中国 | |||||||||||
| 年份 | 00/01 | 01/02 | 02/03* | 03/04* | 04/05* | 05/06(04)* | 05/06(05)* | 变动 | 06/07(04)* | 06/07(05)* | 变动 |
| 期初库存 | 123.80 | 102.37 | 84.79 | 64.97 | 36.56 | 36.56 | 35.26 | (1.30) | 35.26 | 30.86 | (4.40) |
| 产量 | 106.00 | 114.09 | 121.30 | 115.83 | 139.36 | 139.36 | 143.00 | 3.64 | 143.00 | 146.00 | 3.00 |
| 进口 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| 总供给 | 229.89 | 216.50 | 206.12 | 180.80 | 175.98 | 175.98 | 178.36 | 2.38 | 178.36 | 176.96 | (1.40) |
| 饲用量 | 92.00 | 94.00 | 96.00 | 97.00 | 101.00 | 101.00 | 103.00 | 2.00 | 103.00 | 105.00 | 2.00 |
| 国内消费 | 120.24 | 123.10 | 125.90 | 128.40 | 137.00 | 137.00 | 143.00 | 6.00 | 141.00 | 148.00 | 7.00 |
| 出口 | 7.28 | 8.61 | 15.24 | 7.55 | 3.73 | 3.73 | 4.50 | 0.77 | 3.50 | 3.00 | (0.50) |
| 总需求 | 127.52 | 131.71 | 141.14 | 135.95 | 140.73 | 140.73 | 147.50 | 6.77 | 144.50 | 151.00 | 6.50 |
| 结转库存 | 102.37 | 84.79 | 64.97 | 44.85 | 35.26 | 35.26 | 30.86 | (4.40) | 33.86 | 25.96 | (7.90) |
| 库存使用比 | 80.28% | 64.38% | 46.03% | 32.99% | 25.06% | 25.06% | 20.92% | -4.13% | 23.43% | 17.19% | -6.24% |
| 巴西 | |||||||||||
| 年份 | 00/01 | 01/02 | 02/03* | 03/04* | 04/05* | 05/06(04)* | 05/06(05)* | 变动 | 06/07(04)* | 06/07(05)* | 变动 |
| 期初库存 | 0.55 | 1.65 | 0.72 | 6.26 | 4.19 | 4.19 | 3.02 | (1.17) | 3.02 | 5.37 | 2.35 |
| 产量 | 41.54 | 35.50 | 44.50 | 42.00 | 41.70 | 41.70 | 49.50 | 7.80 | 49.50 | 50.00 | 0.50 |
| 进口 | 0.32 | 0.43 | 0.79 | 0.36 | 1.15 | 1.15 | 0.35 | (0.80) | 0.35 | 0.30 | (0.05) |
| 总供给 | 42.41 | 37.58 | 46.01 | 48.62 | 47.04 | 47.04 | 52.87 | 5.83 | 52.87 | 55.67 | 2.80 |
| 饲用量 | 30.50 | 30.50 | 34.00 | 30.50 | 33.00 | 33.00 | 34.50 | 1.50 | 34.50 | 35.50 | 1.00 |
| 国内消费 | 34.50 | 34.50 | 37.50 | 36.30 | 39.50 | 39.50 | 41.00 | 1.50 | 41.00 | 42.00 | 1.00 |
| 出口 | 6.26 | 2.05 | 4.63 | 4.44 | 4.52 | 4.52 | 6.50 | 1.98 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 0.00 |
| 总需求 | 40.76 | 36.55 | 42.13 | 40.74 | 44.02 | 44.02 | 47.50 | 3.48 | 47.50 | 48.50 | 1.00 |
| 结转库存 | 1.65 | 1.02 | 3.88 | 7.88 | 3.02 | 3.02 | 5.37 | 2.35 | 5.37 | 7.17 | 1.80 |
| 库存使用比 | 4.04% | 2.79% | 9.21% | 19.34% | 6.86% | 6.86% | 11.31% | 4.44% | 11.31% | 14.78% | 3.48% |
| 说明： | |||||||||||
| 1.按各国市场年度统计 | |||||||||||
| 2.美国玉米市场年度为9月/8月，中国玉米市场年度为10月/9月。 | |||||||||||
| 3.括号内数字表示报告月份 | |||||||||||
| 4.“ * ” 表示此年份数据尚未确定，此后还可调整 | |||||||||||
